I think it's likely that much of what is said right now is posturing for the domestic populations. However I don't think it's in EU political interest to offer the UK a good deal.
I fear we will end up worse off overall but what I particularly want to know about is how it will effect dev...
Why do you think it's not in EU's best interest to trade with UK? UK is over 65mln country, great market - certainly not the one you would want to get isolated from.
It is in their interest; however the political integrity of the EU is more in their interest and the two are at odds with each other. Further, it isn't about isolation, rather the nature of the deal. The UK must trade with the EU at least in part because the current account deficit implies that we provide value add services: the initial value of which needs to be imported.
We leave in such interesting times :-) We will observe very future of this political project. It evolved a lot since it's beginnings, I can't wait to see what will it evolve to.
It's not so much whether to trade but on what terms, in what goods, whether there is a customs barrier and whether EU rules conflict with other deals.
E.g. when we're out of the CFP, will Spain block imports of UK seafood in retaliation? If we subsided e.g. steel, would that be subject to anti dumping tariffs?
There's an almost infinite amount of detail in which we could lose out.
I would not make such predictions - there is always 'what-if' game we can play. 'what-if' UK gets trading boost with Australia? ;-) Lets stay positive and make sure we grow our businesses (as usual).
I fear we will end up worse off overall but what I particularly want to know about is how it will effect dev...