> We've been improving our CO2 models for over a century now, and in recent decades the modelling has been extremely good - although if anything it's been too optimistic.
If the models are too optimistic, that still means they are wrong, right? Genuinely confused about this.
“The situation today is more dire than our previous models predict and the same models predict an even worse future so we need to take them extra seriously” doesn’t strike me as very reasonable. Not in a super non-linear system with tons of complicated feedback loops.
Any pointers to in-depth explanations of how these models work and how they are benchmarked? Definitely want to learn more.
If the models are too optimistic, that still means they are wrong, right? Genuinely confused about this.
“The situation today is more dire than our previous models predict and the same models predict an even worse future so we need to take them extra seriously” doesn’t strike me as very reasonable. Not in a super non-linear system with tons of complicated feedback loops.
Any pointers to in-depth explanations of how these models work and how they are benchmarked? Definitely want to learn more.