You can’t predict breakthroughs. We probably will see a breakthrough, but there’... | Hacker News

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		dartos on Oct 1, 2024 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: AGI is far from inevitable You can’t predict breakthroughs. We probably will see a breakthrough, but there’s no more reason to believe it’ll happen tomorrow than 100 years from now.

jebarker on Oct 1, 2024 [–]

I didn't make a prediction, let alone a timeline - I just said it's plausible. I suppose I did say "we'll see" so I'm implicitly predicting within a few decades.

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