The NSA can't break GPG assuming everything is working properly. This blog post (which to be fair I only skimmed) explains that GPG is a mess which could lead to things not working properly, and also gives real life examples. You may also want to see https://gpg.fail (you can tell they're from the ivory tower by the cat ears). The blog post also mentions bad UX, which you and I can directly appreciate (if anything I might expect ivory tower types to dismiss UX issues).
I am well familiar with that presentation at CCC. Yes, the presentation are by people who live in the low stakes world of theoreticals as you can tell by the cat ears.
